Home Middle East United Rebel Front in Aleppo ‘Crumbling Like a House of Cards

United Rebel Front in Aleppo ‘Crumbling Like a House of Cards

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AFP 2016/ GEORGES OURFALIAN

Foreign-sponsored radical groups fighting in Syria have turned against each other after failing to push government-led forces away from rebel-held areas in the city of Aleppo, analyst Salman Rafi Sheikh wrote for New Eastern Outlook, adding that armed jihadist militias appear to be in “the process of self-destruction.”

The Syrian Arab Army (SAA) and its local allies are slated to free eastern neighborhoods of the city, the commercial heart of the country prior to the war, the researcher said. This will most likely result in “one of the biggest symbolic and territorial defeats” to the armed rebels, he added.

Damascus-led forces encircled eastern Aleppo in August. Since then rebel groups have repeatedly tried to break the siege. Although they have occasionally managed to seize some areas in and around the city, the SAA has succeeded in pushing them back.

Setbacks in Aleppo have been detrimental to rebel unity. Their “coordinated front” is “now crumbling like a [house] of cards and is desperately fighting its own self” to keep the city under control, Salman Rafi Sheikh said. “Failure to hold onto the city has initiated a [self-destructive] process, forcing the bigger rebel groups to swallow the smaller groups and bring more territory under their control, and thereby find more recruits for future.

This process has apparently been set in motion when a coalition of several radical groups “failed to sustain the counter-siege they had initiated for the part of the city under the Syrian army’s control,” he added.
On November 14, the US-backed Free Syrian Army (FSA) and the Levant Front clashed with militias affiliated with the FSA and Ahrar al-Sham in Azaz, a city located approximately 60 km (35 miles) north of Aleppo. This infighting followed similar clashes in eastern Aleppo on November 2, which saw Jabhat Fateh al-Sham, formerly known as al-Nusra Front, and Nour al-Din al-Zinki attack the Fastaqim Kama Umirt Union, which is part of the FSA.

Salman Rafi Sheikh referred to this infighting as “a fatal blow” to the rebels, adding that they have apparently started to use tactics which could alienate their foreign sponsors.  The analyst further said that Donald Trump’s victory in the US presidential election could also be bad news for the rebels since the next US administration could well focus on cooperating with Russia to destroy Daesh and will be less willing to support radical groups, opposed to Assad.  “With the fall of Aleppo, rebel activity in the northern part of Syria will be crippled to a great extent,” he noted. “With the regime in control of the capital of Damascus and Aleppo, the perception is likely to grow among the people of Syria who are still disconnected with their government that the forces supporting Bashar al-Assad are on the path to defeating the opposition.”

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